You wake up one morning to breaking news, incredulously, in this way:
Varun Gandhi, the new Prime Minister, Sonia, Rahul and Priyanka will
fully back!
Before you gather your strategy, the other: Kishore Biyani's purchase of an All - cash, Mukesh Ambani's business empire out of Deal!
Then the other: a new economic superpower in Europe as Germany topples Greece, ancient coins, instead of Euro?
Hypothetical event, but the common thread? Predictability, but the effect is very high. Or, the black swan events.
More important, however, is the black swan of the logic: if you do not know yet what is most relevant to you.
Exactly what the stock market on the mend. This is the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy, default, and Greece's exit from Euro, an unnerving 7% from the production of Italian bonds are not so long back spike, which results in France, for the first time in almost two decades, become an incumbent president lost the election of a socialist.
This is called Black Swans and the shape of both the global and local macro, and that, therefore, the stock market will continue to be set. After all, bourses animal spirits, which, in turn, is driven off from the new political ecosystem.
To create a boom, when the 20 - and, self-styled tycoons Ferraris, a Spaniard sped to the value of the peseta and the height at three years, and today, where all the rioting and looting, the turbulence does not turn 25% of the foreseen High unemployment, are commonplace.
Because no one could see this coming, it's a black swan event.
India is the dick.
Choose a financial daily in India and you stick with the current account deficit to 4% of GDP in the throes of a crisis from the reams of foreign currency, you can see, how to export and import growth of under 4% of the country makes the case for a complete disappointment, GAAR, and regardless of how policy activism Brand India is dented; How to Increase 8.5% of the bond plus the reason for the high level of government loan programs will be ambitious, how to shoot up to 9% plus inflation, if the title has to be the lobby of the paddy rice is the path and the minimum support price hiked by 16% ; how the consolidation of revenue from diesel subsidies will continue to play havoc with any kind; to a negative 3.5% IIP for March, is a precursor to the worser stuff; how bad debt is an alarming 3% of India's banking system is, and how the passengers of a car sales growth, only 3.4% in a decade to a minimum.
India bashers is that all the correct redlining. However, the country is no better than the 7% GDP growth to be writing off the money, it ceases to be a black swan is expecting.
However, what Nassim Nicholas Taleb in his book, Fooled by randomness in the note says: "is not happening for a Black Swan".
What if our 'lame - people' by bullets bite, call the bluff of his coalition partners and fast-tracks the winter session of Parliament pending the insurance, retail, aviation, power distribution at the reforms,?
Railway Minister Mamata Banerjee if it reinstates Dinesh Trivedi and support as the only fare hikes, but does not call for the privatization of Indian Railways
Credit Mamatadi hard with such foresight? To9% GDP growth next year we can get back to that? From 6300 the fashionable Upper Plus, 2010 was last seen to be impossible to imagine, can be recovered this year?
Well, because almost no one except a few that actually believe this may be it.
One thing that is repeated again and last for many years, if all the following, it is the black swan, was not unexpected and has been expected.
In India, if desired, can be fashionable 4200 or maybe even 3,800. However, it is a black swan, mount the index of 7000.
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Before you gather your strategy, the other: Kishore Biyani's purchase of an All - cash, Mukesh Ambani's business empire out of Deal!
Then the other: a new economic superpower in Europe as Germany topples Greece, ancient coins, instead of Euro?
Hypothetical event, but the common thread? Predictability, but the effect is very high. Or, the black swan events.
More important, however, is the black swan of the logic: if you do not know yet what is most relevant to you.
Exactly what the stock market on the mend. This is the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy, default, and Greece's exit from Euro, an unnerving 7% from the production of Italian bonds are not so long back spike, which results in France, for the first time in almost two decades, become an incumbent president lost the election of a socialist.
This is called Black Swans and the shape of both the global and local macro, and that, therefore, the stock market will continue to be set. After all, bourses animal spirits, which, in turn, is driven off from the new political ecosystem.
To create a boom, when the 20 - and, self-styled tycoons Ferraris, a Spaniard sped to the value of the peseta and the height at three years, and today, where all the rioting and looting, the turbulence does not turn 25% of the foreseen High unemployment, are commonplace.
Because no one could see this coming, it's a black swan event.
India is the dick.
Choose a financial daily in India and you stick with the current account deficit to 4% of GDP in the throes of a crisis from the reams of foreign currency, you can see, how to export and import growth of under 4% of the country makes the case for a complete disappointment, GAAR, and regardless of how policy activism Brand India is dented; How to Increase 8.5% of the bond plus the reason for the high level of government loan programs will be ambitious, how to shoot up to 9% plus inflation, if the title has to be the lobby of the paddy rice is the path and the minimum support price hiked by 16% ; how the consolidation of revenue from diesel subsidies will continue to play havoc with any kind; to a negative 3.5% IIP for March, is a precursor to the worser stuff; how bad debt is an alarming 3% of India's banking system is, and how the passengers of a car sales growth, only 3.4% in a decade to a minimum.
India bashers is that all the correct redlining. However, the country is no better than the 7% GDP growth to be writing off the money, it ceases to be a black swan is expecting.
However, what Nassim Nicholas Taleb in his book, Fooled by randomness in the note says: "is not happening for a Black Swan".
What if our 'lame - people' by bullets bite, call the bluff of his coalition partners and fast-tracks the winter session of Parliament pending the insurance, retail, aviation, power distribution at the reforms,?
Railway Minister Mamata Banerjee if it reinstates Dinesh Trivedi and support as the only fare hikes, but does not call for the privatization of Indian Railways
Credit Mamatadi hard with such foresight? To9% GDP growth next year we can get back to that? From 6300 the fashionable Upper Plus, 2010 was last seen to be impossible to imagine, can be recovered this year?
Well, because almost no one except a few that actually believe this may be it.
One thing that is repeated again and last for many years, if all the following, it is the black swan, was not unexpected and has been expected.
In India, if desired, can be fashionable 4200 or maybe even 3,800. However, it is a black swan, mount the index of 7000.
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